Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#255
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#289
Pace67.4#245
Improvement-0.5#202

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#222
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#259
Layup/Dunks+0.0#167
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#58
Freethrows-3.5#340
Improvement-1.0#231

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#271
First Shot-4.0#289
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#127
Layups/Dunks-2.1#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#111
Freethrows-3.3#335
Improvement+0.5#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 6   @ West Virginia L 61-107 1%     0 - 1 -24.3 -9.8 -7.6
  Nov 21, 2015 144   Morehead St. L 56-64 34%     0 - 2 -9.6 -4.4 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2015 15   @ Xavier L 66-78 2%     0 - 3 +6.7 -2.7 +10.1
  Nov 30, 2015 337   @ N.C. A&T L 63-74 68%     0 - 4 -21.6 -15.1 -6.6
  Dec 05, 2015 264   @ Eastern Illinois L 73-79 OT 41%     0 - 5 -9.5 -10.7 +1.9
  Dec 13, 2015 241   Norfolk St. W 81-60 57%     1 - 5 +13.4 +11.8 +4.2
  Dec 15, 2015 42   @ Michigan L 62-77 5%     1 - 6 -1.3 -1.5 -1.0
  Dec 19, 2015 338   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-69 84%     2 - 6 -6.6 +7.0 -12.7
  Dec 30, 2015 128   @ Toledo L 73-90 15%     2 - 7 -11.6 +1.1 -12.5
  Jan 02, 2016 122   @ Green Bay L 70-86 14%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -10.2 -8.1 -0.4
  Jan 04, 2016 114   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-76 13%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -2.7 -6.0 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2016 145   Wright St. L 46-60 35%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -15.7 -16.1 -2.3
  Jan 14, 2016 289   Youngstown St. W 84-64 70%     3 - 10 1 - 3 +8.8 -2.0 +9.6
  Jan 16, 2016 281   Cleveland St. L 65-70 69%     3 - 11 1 - 4 -15.8 -4.1 -11.9
  Jan 19, 2016 88   @ Oakland W 90-73 9%     4 - 11 2 - 4 +26.3 +14.7 +11.2
  Jan 22, 2016 331   Illinois-Chicago W 82-69 OT 82%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -2.5 -4.2 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2016 52   Valparaiso L 46-71 12%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -18.1 -15.9 -4.5
  Jan 29, 2016 179   @ Detroit Mercy W 91-83 23%     6 - 12 4 - 5 +10.0 +7.7 +1.7
  Feb 01, 2016 88   Oakland L 74-85 19%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -7.5 -1.6 -6.1
  Feb 04, 2016 122   Green Bay L 78-85 29%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -7.0 -5.0 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75-71 27%     7 - 14 5 - 7 +4.5 +1.5 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2016 52   @ Valparaiso L 52-64 5%     7 - 15 5 - 8 +0.7 -6.5 +6.1
  Feb 13, 2016 331   @ Illinois-Chicago L 77-79 65%     7 - 16 5 - 9 -11.6 -2.9 -8.5
  Feb 16, 2016 179   Detroit Mercy L 68-74 43%     7 - 17 5 - 10 -9.8 -13.0 +3.4
  Feb 20, 2016 145   @ Wright St. L 64-67 18%     7 - 18 5 - 11 +1.1 -0.3 +1.2
  Feb 25, 2016 281   @ Cleveland St. L 58-63 47%     7 - 19 5 - 12 -9.9 -4.4 -6.2
  Feb 27, 2016 289   @ Youngstown St. L 75-94 48%     7 - 20 5 - 13 -24.3 -11.1 -11.2
  Mar 05, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-86 19%     7 - 21 -13.6 -1.5 -13.0
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%